How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Junkeren, at 44.2%. The other outcomes represent 55.8% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 35.3% · Draw: 20.5% · Away win: 44.2%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Trygg/Lade 1559; Junkeren 1658. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–2. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
2. Division - Group 2 · Sunday, Oct 4 2026
· 14:00
Trygg/Lade
Elo 1559
1
-
2
Junkeren
Elo 1658
FT
HT 1-1
Home Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Away Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Elo Advantage
-98
H2H (2)
0H
0D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Trygg/Lade1559
Junkeren1658
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Trygg/Lade
0Draws
2Junkeren
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
44% conf.
CORRECT
Home
35%
Draw
21%
Away
44%
Both Teams to Score
56% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
56%
No
44%
Away Clean Sheet
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
23%
No
77%
Home Clean Sheet
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
19%
No
81%
Double Chance 1X
53% conf.
WRONG
Yes
53%
No
47%
Double Chance X2
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
61%
No
39%
Half-Time Result
36% conf.
CORRECT
Home
32%
Draw
36%
Away
32%
HT Both Teams Score
80% conf.
WRONG
Yes
20%
No
80%
HT Over 0.5
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
76%
No
24%
HT Over 1.5
66% conf.
WRONG
Yes
34%
No
66%
Over 1.5 Goals
87% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
87%
No
13%
Over 2.5 Goals
62% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
62%
No
38%
Over 3.5 Goals
58% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
42%
No
58%
Home Win to Nil
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.