How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Iskra, at 45.1%. The other outcomes represent 54.9% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 45.1% · Draw: 27.3% · Away win: 27.6%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Iskra 1472; Rudar 1441. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–0. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Historical record or date different from the current schedule; it should not be presented as a verified pre-match forecast.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Second League · Tuesday, Oct 6 2026
· 13:00
Iskra
Elo 1472
1
-
0
Rudar
Elo 1441
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
1W
0D
4L
Away Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Elo Advantage
+31
H2H (8)
4H
0D
4A
Elo rating comparison
Iskra1472
Rudar1441
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
4Iskra
0Draws
4Rudar
8 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
45% conf.
CORRECT
Home
45%
Draw
27%
Away
28%
Both Teams to Score
61% conf.
WRONG
Yes
61%
No
39%
Away Clean Sheet
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
25%
No
75%
Home Clean Sheet
74% conf.
WRONG
Yes
26%
No
74%
Double Chance 1X
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
70%
No
30%
Double Chance X2
56% conf.
WRONG
Yes
56%
No
44%
Half-Time Result
38% conf.
CORRECT
Home
36%
Draw
38%
Away
26%
HT Both Teams Score
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
25%
No
75%
HT Over 0.5
76% conf.
WRONG
Yes
76%
No
24%
HT Over 1.5
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
41%
No
59%
Over 1.5 Goals
82% conf.
WRONG
Yes
82%
No
18%
Over 2.5 Goals
61% conf.
WRONG
Yes
61%
No
39%
Over 3.5 Goals
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
41%
No
59%
Home Win to Nil
79% conf.
WRONG
Yes
21%
No
79%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.