How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Coleraine FC, at 65.7%. The other outcomes represent 34.3% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 15.3% · Draw: 18.9% · Away win: 65.7%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Bangor 1572; Coleraine FC 1959. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–3. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #720 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Premiership · Sunday, Oct 4 2026
· 14:00
Bangor
Elo 1572
2
-
3
Coleraine FC
Elo 1959
FT
HT 1-2
Home Form (5)
0W
2D
3L
Away Form (5)
4W
1D
0L
Elo Advantage
-387
H2H (2)
0H
0D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Bangor1572
Coleraine FC1959
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Bangor
0Draws
2Coleraine FC
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
66% conf.
CORRECT
Home
15%
@ 10.39
Draw
19%
@ 6.21
Away
66%
@ 1.20
Both Teams to Score
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
53%
@ 1.81
No
47%
Away Clean Sheet
52% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
48%
No
52%
Home Clean Sheet
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
12%
No
88%
Double Chance 1X
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
19%
No
81%
Double Chance X2
86% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
86%
@ 1.04
No
14%
Half-Time Result
48% conf.
CORRECT
Home
16%
@ 8.29
Draw
35%
@ 2.92
Away
48%
@ 1.57
HT Both Teams Score
78% conf.
WRONG
Yes
22%
No
78%
HT Over 0.5
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
77%
@ 1.20
No
23%
HT Over 1.5
58% conf.
WRONG
Yes
42%
No
58%
Over 1.5 Goals
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
81%
@ 1.10
No
19%
Over 2.5 Goals
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
63%
@ 1.38
No
37%
Over 3.5 Goals
69% conf.
WRONG
Yes
31%
No
69%
Home Win to Nil
100% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
0%
No
100%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.