How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Varnsdorf, at 51.4%. The other outcomes represent 48.6% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 51.4% · Draw: 22.2% · Away win: 26.3%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Varnsdorf 1656; Slovan Liberec II 1543. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–1. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
3. liga - CFL B · Sunday, Oct 4 2026
· 14:00
Varnsdorf
Elo 1656
1
-
1
Slovan Liberec II
Elo 1543
FT
HT 1-1
Home Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Away Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Elo Advantage
+113
H2H (2)
0H
0D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Varnsdorf1656
Slovan Liberec II1543
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Varnsdorf
0Draws
2Slovan Liberec II
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
51% conf.
WRONG
Home
51%
Draw
22%
Away
26%
Both Teams to Score
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
61%
No
39%
Away Clean Sheet
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
18%
No
82%
Home Clean Sheet
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
27%
No
73%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
54% conf.
WRONG
Yes
46%
No
54%
Half-Time Result
37% conf.
WRONG
Home
37%
Draw
33%
Away
29%
HT Both Teams Score
74% conf.
WRONG
Yes
26%
No
74%
HT Over 0.5
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
79%
No
21%
HT Over 1.5
55% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
55%
No
45%
Over 1.5 Goals
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
84%
No
16%
Over 2.5 Goals
62% conf.
WRONG
Yes
62%
No
38%
Over 3.5 Goals
57% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
43%
No
57%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.