Stuttgart vs Union Berlin W

Frauen Bundesliga · Sunday, 04 Oct 2026 · 14:00

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Statistical match analysis

In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Stuttgart, at 43.9%. The other outcomes represent 56.1% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.

Home win: 43.9% · Draw: 24.1% · Away win: 32%.

Elo strength available for this analysis: Stuttgart 1652; Union Berlin W 1676. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.

90-minute result: 0–4. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.

Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.

Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.

Frauen Bundesliga · Sunday, Oct 4 2026 · 14:00
Stuttgart
Elo 1652
0 - 4
Union Berlin W
Elo 1676
FT HT 0-1
Home Form (5)
2W 2D 1L
Away Form (5)
1W 2D 2L
Elo Advantage
-24

Elo rating comparison

Stuttgart1652
Union Berlin W1676

A measure of relative team strength before the match.

Head-to-head history

—Stuttgart
—Draws
—Union Berlin W

0 historical meetings in the model

Predictions

14 markets
Match Result
44% conf. WRONG
Home
44%
Draw
24%
Away
32%
Both Teams to Score
60% conf. WRONG
Yes
60%
No
40%
Away Clean Sheet
86% conf. WRONG
Yes
14%
No
86%
Home Clean Sheet
76% conf. CORRECT
Yes
24%
No
76%
Double Chance 1X
64% conf. WRONG
Yes
64%
No
36%
Double Chance X2
56% conf. CORRECT
Yes
56%
No
44%
Half-Time Result
38% conf. WRONG
Home
38%
Draw
38%
Away
24%
HT Both Teams Score
77% conf. CORRECT
Yes
23%
No
77%
HT Over 0.5
80% conf. CORRECT
Yes
80%
No
20%
HT Over 1.5
60% conf. CORRECT
Yes
40%
No
60%
Over 1.5 Goals
86% conf. CORRECT
Yes
86%
No
14%
Over 2.5 Goals
64% conf. CORRECT
Yes
64%
No
36%
Over 3.5 Goals
61% conf. WRONG
Yes
39%
No
61%
Home Win to Nil
83% conf. CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%

How to read these predictions

Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.

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Recent results

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Verified performance

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Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?

Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.

Are predictions guaranteed?

No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.

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