How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Zamora, at 59.5%. The other outcomes represent 40.5% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 59.5% · Draw: 23.3% · Away win: 17.2%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Zamora 1781; CD Coria 1729. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · Sunday, Oct 4 2026
· 14:30
Zamora
Elo 1781
2
-
0
CD Coria
Elo 1729
FT
HT 1-0
Home Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Away Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Elo Advantage
+52
Elo rating comparison
Zamora1781
CD Coria1729
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Zamora
—Draws
—CD Coria
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
59% conf.
CORRECT
Home
59%
Draw
23%
Away
17%
Both Teams to Score
57% conf.
WRONG
Yes
57%
No
43%
Away Clean Sheet
86% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
14%
No
86%
Home Clean Sheet
60% conf.
WRONG
Yes
40%
No
60%
Double Chance 1X
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
84%
No
16%
Double Chance X2
57% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
43%
No
57%
Half-Time Result
45% conf.
CORRECT
Home
45%
Draw
38%
Away
17%
HT Both Teams Score
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
19%
No
81%
HT Over 0.5
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
73%
No
27%
HT Over 1.5
67% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
33%
No
67%
Over 1.5 Goals
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
79%
No
21%
Over 2.5 Goals
54% conf.
WRONG
Yes
54%
No
46%
Over 3.5 Goals
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
28%
No
72%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
WRONG
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.