How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Shenavarsazi Qeshm, at 45.6%. The other outcomes represent 54.4% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 45.6% · Draw: 29.9% · Away win: 24.5%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Shenavarsazi Qeshm 1447; Mes Soongoun 1464. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Azadegan League · Sunday, Oct 4 2026
· 13:30
Shenavarsazi Qeshm
Elo 1447
1
-
0
Mes Soongoun
Elo 1464
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
1W
3D
1L
Away Form (5)
0W
3D
2L
Elo Advantage
-16
H2H (4)
0H
4D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Shenavarsazi Qeshm1447
Mes Soongoun1464
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Shenavarsazi Qeshm
4Draws
0Mes Soongoun
4 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
46% conf.
CORRECT
Home
46%
Draw
30%
Away
25%
Both Teams to Score
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
39%
No
61%
Away Clean Sheet
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
31%
No
69%
Home Clean Sheet
51% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
51%
No
49%
Double Chance 1X
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
70%
No
30%
Double Chance X2
56% conf.
WRONG
Yes
56%
No
44%
Half-Time Result
47% conf.
CORRECT
Home
30%
Draw
47%
Away
23%
HT Both Teams Score
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
16%
No
84%
HT Over 0.5
66% conf.
WRONG
Yes
66%
No
34%
HT Over 1.5
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
23%
No
77%
Over 1.5 Goals
60% conf.
WRONG
Yes
60%
No
40%
Over 2.5 Goals
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
41%
No
59%
Over 3.5 Goals
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
WRONG
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.