How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is PSV/Eindhoven W, at 61.2%. The other outcomes represent 38.8% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 19.7% · Draw: 19.1% · Away win: 61.2%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: ADO Den Haag W 1502; PSV/Eindhoven W 1848. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–3. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Eredivisie Women · Sunday, Oct 4 2026
· 14:45
ADO Den Haag W
Elo 1502
0
-
3
PSV/Eindhoven W
Elo 1848
FT
HT 0-2
Home Form (5)
0W
2D
3L
Away Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Elo Advantage
-346
H2H (5)
0H
0D
5A
Elo rating comparison
ADO Den Haag W1502
PSV/Eindhoven W1848
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0ADO Den Haag W
0Draws
5PSV/Eindhoven W
5 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
61% conf.
CORRECT
Home
20%
Draw
19%
Away
61%
Both Teams to Score
56% conf.
WRONG
Yes
56%
No
44%
Away Clean Sheet
54% conf.
WRONG
Yes
46%
No
54%
Home Clean Sheet
91% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
9%
No
91%
Double Chance 1X
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
30%
No
70%
Double Chance X2
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
83%
No
17%
Half-Time Result
53% conf.
CORRECT
Home
19%
Draw
29%
Away
53%
HT Both Teams Score
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
HT Over 0.5
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
79%
No
21%
HT Over 1.5
52% conf.
WRONG
Yes
48%
No
52%
Over 1.5 Goals
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
84%
No
16%
Over 2.5 Goals
66% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
66%
No
34%
Over 3.5 Goals
50% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
50%
No
50%
Home Win to Nil
100% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
0%
No
100%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.