How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Twente W, at 79.9%. The other outcomes represent 20.1% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 79.9% · Draw: 10.3% · Away win: 9.8%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Twente W 1916; Utrecht W 1563. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Eredivisie Women · Sunday, Oct 4 2026
· 10:15
Twente W
Elo 1916
2
-
0
Utrecht W
Elo 1563
FT
HT 2-0
Home Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Away Form (5)
0W
1D
4L
Elo Advantage
+353
H2H (4)
0H
1D
3A
Elo rating comparison
Twente W1916
Utrecht W1563
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Twente W
1Draws
3Utrecht W
4 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
80% conf.
CORRECT
Home
80%
Draw
10%
Away
10%
Both Teams to Score
56% conf.
WRONG
Yes
56%
No
44%
Away Clean Sheet
93% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
7%
No
93%
Home Clean Sheet
62% conf.
WRONG
Yes
38%
No
62%
Double Chance 1X
89% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
89%
No
11%
Double Chance X2
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
23%
No
77%
Half-Time Result
57% conf.
CORRECT
Home
57%
Draw
31%
Away
12%
HT Both Teams Score
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
23%
No
77%
HT Over 0.5
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
79%
No
21%
HT Over 1.5
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
61%
No
39%
Over 1.5 Goals
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
88%
No
12%
Over 2.5 Goals
73% conf.
WRONG
Yes
73%
No
27%
Over 3.5 Goals
64% conf.
WRONG
Yes
64%
No
36%
Home Win to Nil
59% conf.
WRONG
Yes
41%
No
59%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.