How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Real Sociedad II, at 39.0%. The other outcomes represent 61.0% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 39% · Draw: 26.7% · Away win: 34.4%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Real Sociedad II 1700; Granada CF 1774. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–3. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #720 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Segunda División · Sunday, Oct 4 2026
· 12:00
Real Sociedad II
Elo 1700
2
-
3
Granada CF
Elo 1774
FT
HT 2-0
Home Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Away Form (5)
0W
2D
3L
Elo Advantage
-74
H2H (2)
0H
0D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Real Sociedad II1700
Granada CF1774
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Real Sociedad II
0Draws
2Granada CF
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
39% conf.
WRONG
Home
39%
@ 2.52
Draw
27%
@ 3.22
Away
34%
@ 2.66
Both Teams to Score
52% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
52%
@ 1.69
No
48%
Away Clean Sheet
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Home Clean Sheet
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
22%
No
78%
Double Chance 1X
53% conf.
WRONG
Yes
53%
@ 1.42
No
47%
Double Chance X2
62% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
62%
@ 1.49
No
38%
Half-Time Result
41% conf.
WRONG
Home
27%
@ 3.09
Draw
41%
@ 2.12
Away
33%
@ 3.28
HT Both Teams Score
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
20%
No
80%
HT Over 0.5
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
65%
@ 1.39
No
35%
HT Over 1.5
69% conf.
WRONG
Yes
31%
No
69%
Over 1.5 Goals
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
79%
@ 1.27
No
21%
Over 2.5 Goals
51% conf.
WRONG
Yes
49%
No
51%
Over 3.5 Goals
69% conf.
WRONG
Yes
31%
No
69%
Home Win to Nil
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.