How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Espanyol II, at 74.3%. The other outcomes represent 25.7% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 74.3% · Draw: 18% · Away win: 7.7%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Espanyol II 1745; Náxara 1624. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 · Wednesday, Nov 4 2026
· 17:00
Espanyol II
Elo 1745
vs
Náxara
Elo 1624
Home Form (5)
5W
0D
0L
Away Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Elo Advantage
+121
Elo rating comparison
Espanyol II1745
Náxara1624
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Espanyol II
—Draws
—Náxara
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
74% conf.
Home
74%
Draw
18%
Away
8%
Both Teams to Score
55% conf.
Yes
45%
No
55%
Away Clean Sheet
91% conf.
Yes
9%
No
91%
Home Clean Sheet
51% conf.
Yes
49%
No
51%
Double Chance 1X
97% conf.
Yes
97%
No
3%
Double Chance X2
72% conf.
Yes
28%
No
72%
Half-Time Result
51% conf.
Home
51%
Draw
37%
Away
12%
HT Both Teams Score
82% conf.
Yes
18%
No
82%
HT Over 0.5
73% conf.
Yes
73%
No
27%
HT Over 1.5
59% conf.
Yes
41%
No
59%
Over 1.5 Goals
81% conf.
Yes
81%
No
19%
Over 2.5 Goals
60% conf.
Yes
60%
No
40%
Over 3.5 Goals
65% conf.
Yes
35%
No
65%
Home Win to Nil
59% conf.
Yes
41%
No
59%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.