How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Real Betis II, at 42.2%. The other outcomes represent 57.8% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 29.8% · Draw: 28% · Away win: 42.2%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Marbella 1586; Real Betis II 1697. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–2. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #720 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 · Sunday, Oct 4 2026
· 15:00
Marbella
Elo 1586
0
-
2
Real Betis II
Elo 1697
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
1W
0D
4L
Away Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Elo Advantage
-112
H2H (1)
1H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Marbella1586
Real Betis II1697
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
1Marbella
0Draws
0Real Betis II
1 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
42% conf.
CORRECT
Home
30%
@ 3.24
Draw
28%
@ 3.34
Away
42%
@ 2.06
Both Teams to Score
56% conf.
WRONG
Yes
56%
@ 1.74
No
44%
Away Clean Sheet
72% conf.
WRONG
Yes
28%
No
72%
Home Clean Sheet
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
23%
No
77%
Double Chance 1X
53% conf.
WRONG
Yes
53%
@ 1.64
No
47%
Double Chance X2
71% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
71%
@ 1.27
No
29%
Half-Time Result
45% conf.
CORRECT
Home
20%
@ 3.82
Draw
45%
@ 2.10
Away
35%
@ 2.72
HT Both Teams Score
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
24%
No
76%
HT Over 0.5
67% conf.
WRONG
Yes
67%
@ 1.38
No
33%
HT Over 1.5
67% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
33%
No
67%
Over 1.5 Goals
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
76%
@ 1.29
No
24%
Over 2.5 Goals
51% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
49%
No
51%
Over 3.5 Goals
86% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
14%
No
86%
Home Win to Nil
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.