How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is PE Sant Jordi, at 45.5%. The other outcomes represent 54.5% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 45.5% · Draw: 22.6% · Away win: 31.9%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: PE Sant Jordi 1435; Inter Ibiza 1473. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–0. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 · Sunday, Oct 4 2026
· 15:00
PE Sant Jordi
Elo 1435
0
-
0
Inter Ibiza
Elo 1473
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Away Form (5)
1W
0D
4L
Elo Advantage
-38
Elo rating comparison
PE Sant Jordi1435
Inter Ibiza1473
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—PE Sant Jordi
—Draws
—Inter Ibiza
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
45% conf.
WRONG
Home
45%
Draw
23%
Away
32%
Both Teams to Score
65% conf.
WRONG
Yes
65%
No
35%
Away Clean Sheet
85% conf.
WRONG
Yes
15%
No
85%
Home Clean Sheet
72% conf.
WRONG
Yes
28%
No
72%
Double Chance 1X
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
64%
No
36%
Double Chance X2
56% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
56%
No
44%
Half-Time Result
38% conf.
CORRECT
Home
31%
Draw
38%
Away
31%
HT Both Teams Score
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
23%
No
77%
HT Over 0.5
79% conf.
WRONG
Yes
79%
No
21%
HT Over 1.5
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Over 1.5 Goals
83% conf.
WRONG
Yes
83%
No
17%
Over 2.5 Goals
60% conf.
WRONG
Yes
60%
No
40%
Over 3.5 Goals
71% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
29%
No
71%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.