How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is ASPAC, at 67.2%. The other outcomes represent 32.8% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 67.2% · Draw: 21.4% · Away win: 11.4%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: ASPAC 1692; Djeffa 1377. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Championnat National · Sunday, Oct 4 2026
· 15:00
ASPAC
Elo 1692
2
-
0
Djeffa
Elo 1377
FT
HT 1-0
Home Form (5)
2W
0D
3L
Away Form (5)
0W
0D
0L
Elo Advantage
+315
Elo rating comparison
ASPAC1692
Djeffa1377
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—ASPAC
—Draws
—Djeffa
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
67% conf.
CORRECT
Home
67%
Draw
21%
Away
11%
Both Teams to Score
55% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
45%
No
55%
Away Clean Sheet
86% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
14%
No
86%
Home Clean Sheet
58% conf.
WRONG
Yes
42%
No
58%
Double Chance 1X
93% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
93%
No
7%
Double Chance X2
68% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
32%
No
68%
Half-Time Result
51% conf.
CORRECT
Home
51%
Draw
37%
Away
12%
HT Both Teams Score
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
18%
No
82%
HT Over 0.5
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
69%
No
31%
HT Over 1.5
56% conf.
WRONG
Yes
56%
No
44%
Over 1.5 Goals
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
47%
No
53%
Over 3.5 Goals
66% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
34%
No
66%
Home Win to Nil
59% conf.
WRONG
Yes
41%
No
59%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.