How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Asteras Tripolis II, at 45.6%. The other outcomes represent 54.4% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 45.6% · Draw: 24.6% · Away win: 29.8%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Asteras Tripolis II 1636; Anagennisi Karditsas 1739. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Super League 2 · Sunday, Oct 4 2026
· 12:00
Asteras Tripolis II
Elo 1636
2
-
0
Anagennisi Karditsas
Elo 1739
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
1W
3D
1L
Away Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Elo Advantage
-104
H2H (9)
4H
4D
1A
Elo rating comparison
Asteras Tripolis II1636
Anagennisi Karditsas1739
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
4Asteras Tripolis II
4Draws
1Anagennisi Karditsas
9 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
46% conf.
CORRECT
Home
46%
Draw
25%
Away
30%
Both Teams to Score
51% conf.
WRONG
Yes
51%
No
49%
Away Clean Sheet
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
20%
No
80%
Home Clean Sheet
70% conf.
WRONG
Yes
30%
No
70%
Double Chance 1X
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
70%
No
30%
Double Chance X2
56% conf.
WRONG
Yes
56%
No
44%
Half-Time Result
44% conf.
CORRECT
Home
35%
Draw
44%
Away
21%
HT Both Teams Score
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
19%
No
81%
HT Over 0.5
72% conf.
WRONG
Yes
72%
No
28%
HT Over 1.5
66% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
34%
No
66%
Over 1.5 Goals
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
70%
No
30%
Over 2.5 Goals
54% conf.
WRONG
Yes
54%
No
46%
Over 3.5 Goals
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
24%
No
76%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
WRONG
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.