How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Marko, at 54.0%. The other outcomes represent 46.0% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 24.3% · Draw: 21.6% · Away win: 54%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Nestos Chrisoupolis 1735; Marko 1822. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–2. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Historical record or date different from the current schedule; it should not be presented as a verified pre-match forecast.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Super League 2 · Monday, Oct 5 2026
· 12:00
Nestos Chrisoupolis
Elo 1735
1
-
2
Marko
Elo 1822
FT
HT 0-1
Home Form (5)
3W
2D
0L
Away Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Elo Advantage
-87
Elo rating comparison
Nestos Chrisoupolis1735
Marko1822
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Nestos Chrisoupolis
—Draws
—Marko
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
54% conf.
CORRECT
Home
24%
Draw
22%
Away
54%
Both Teams to Score
51% conf.
WRONG
Yes
49%
No
51%
Away Clean Sheet
68% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
32%
No
68%
Home Clean Sheet
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
20%
No
80%
Double Chance 1X
50% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
50%
No
50%
Double Chance X2
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
74%
No
26%
Half-Time Result
39% conf.
CORRECT
Home
22%
Draw
39%
Away
39%
HT Both Teams Score
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
HT Over 0.5
68% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
68%
No
32%
HT Over 1.5
56% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
44%
No
56%
Over 1.5 Goals
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
70%
No
30%
Over 2.5 Goals
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
53%
No
47%
Over 3.5 Goals
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
25%
No
75%
Home Win to Nil
89% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
11%
No
89%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.