How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Niki Volos, at 38.5%. The other outcomes represent 61.5% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 38.5% · Draw: 26% · Away win: 35.5%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Niki Volos 1757; Larisa 1826. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–2. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Historical record or date different from the current schedule; it should not be presented as a verified pre-match forecast.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Super League 2 · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 11:45
Niki Volos
Elo 1757
2
-
2
Larisa
Elo 1826
FT
HT 2-1
Home Form (5)
0W
3D
2L
Away Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Elo Advantage
-69
Elo rating comparison
Niki Volos1757
Larisa1826
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Niki Volos
—Draws
—Larisa
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
38% conf.
WRONG
Home
38%
Draw
26%
Away
36%
Both Teams to Score
58% conf.
WRONG
Yes
42%
No
58%
Away Clean Sheet
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
27%
No
73%
Home Clean Sheet
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
39%
No
61%
Double Chance 1X
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
64%
No
36%
Double Chance X2
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
60%
No
40%
Half-Time Result
44% conf.
WRONG
Home
34%
Draw
44%
Away
22%
HT Both Teams Score
85% conf.
WRONG
Yes
15%
No
85%
HT Over 0.5
68% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
68%
No
32%
HT Over 1.5
65% conf.
WRONG
Yes
35%
No
65%
Over 1.5 Goals
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
70%
No
30%
Over 2.5 Goals
52% conf.
WRONG
Yes
48%
No
52%
Over 3.5 Goals
76% conf.
WRONG
Yes
24%
No
76%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.