How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Asante Kotoko, at 46.8%. The other outcomes represent 53.2% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 46.8% · Draw: 27.5% · Away win: 25.7%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Asante Kotoko 1583; Karela 1591. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Premier League · Thursday, Oct 1 2026
· 15:00
Asante Kotoko
Elo 1583
vs
Karela
Elo 1591
Home Form (5)
0W
0D
5L
Away Form (5)
2W
0D
3L
Elo Advantage
-8
H2H (2)
0H
0D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Asante Kotoko1583
Karela1591
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Asante Kotoko
0Draws
2Karela
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
47% conf.
Home
47%
Draw
27%
Away
26%
Both Teams to Score
57% conf.
Yes
57%
No
43%
Away Clean Sheet
72% conf.
Yes
28%
No
72%
Home Clean Sheet
64% conf.
Yes
36%
No
64%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
50% conf.
Yes
50%
No
50%
Half-Time Result
44% conf.
Home
37%
Draw
44%
Away
19%
HT Both Teams Score
79% conf.
Yes
21%
No
79%
HT Over 0.5
66% conf.
Yes
66%
No
34%
HT Over 1.5
65% conf.
Yes
35%
No
65%
Over 1.5 Goals
69% conf.
Yes
69%
No
31%
Over 2.5 Goals
51% conf.
Yes
51%
No
49%
Over 3.5 Goals
73% conf.
Yes
27%
No
73%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.