How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is HJK W, at 58.2%. The other outcomes represent 41.8% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 58.2% · Draw: 17.3% · Away win: 24.5%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: HJK W 1916; HPS W 1717. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–3. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Kansallinen Liiga · Sunday, Oct 4 2026
· 15:30
HJK W
Elo 1916
2
-
3
HPS W
Elo 1717
FT
HT 0-3
Home Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Away Form (5)
3W
2D
0L
Elo Advantage
+198
H2H (10)
5H
5D
0A
Elo rating comparison
HJK W1916
HPS W1717
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
5HJK W
5Draws
0HPS W
10 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
58% conf.
WRONG
Home
58%
Draw
17%
Away
24%
Both Teams to Score
54% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
54%
No
46%
Away Clean Sheet
86% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
14%
No
86%
Home Clean Sheet
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
WRONG
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
58% conf.
WRONG
Yes
42%
No
58%
Half-Time Result
46% conf.
WRONG
Home
46%
Draw
37%
Away
17%
HT Both Teams Score
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
16%
No
84%
HT Over 0.5
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
72%
No
28%
HT Over 1.5
59% conf.
WRONG
Yes
41%
No
59%
Over 1.5 Goals
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
80%
No
20%
Over 2.5 Goals
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
70%
No
30%
Over 3.5 Goals
61% conf.
WRONG
Yes
39%
No
61%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.