NJ/NY Gotham FC W vs Angel City W

NWSL Women · Sunday, 04 Oct 2026 · 17:00

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Statistical match analysis

In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is NJ/NY Gotham FC W, at 55.1%. The other outcomes represent 44.9% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.

Home win: 55.1% · Draw: 24% · Away win: 20.9%.

Elo strength available for this analysis: NJ/NY Gotham FC W 1714; Angel City W 1599. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.

90-minute result: 1–1. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.

Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #720 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.

Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.

NWSL Women · Sunday, Oct 4 2026 · 17:00
NJ/NY Gotham FC W
Elo 1714
1 - 1
Angel City W
Elo 1599
FT HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
4W 0D 1L
Away Form (5)
3W 2D 0L
Elo Advantage
+115
H2H (4)
0H 4D 0A

Elo rating comparison

NJ/NY Gotham FC W1714
Angel City W1599

A measure of relative team strength before the match.

Head-to-head history

0NJ/NY Gotham FC W
4Draws
0Angel City W

4 historical meetings in the model

Predictions

14 markets
Match Result
55% conf. WRONG
Home
55%
@ 1.79
Draw
24%
@ 3.70
Away
21%
@ 3.76
Both Teams to Score
57% conf. CORRECT
Yes
57%
@ 1.66
No
43%
Away Clean Sheet
80% conf. CORRECT
Yes
20%
No
80%
Home Clean Sheet
74% conf. CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf. CORRECT
Yes
75%
@ 1.20
No
25%
Double Chance X2
51% conf. CORRECT
Yes
51%
@ 1.89
No
49%
Half-Time Result
44% conf. CORRECT
Home
34%
@ 2.36
Draw
44%
@ 2.25
Away
23%
@ 4.25
HT Both Teams Score
84% conf. CORRECT
Yes
16%
No
84%
HT Over 0.5
70% conf. WRONG
Yes
70%
@ 1.31
No
30%
HT Over 1.5
67% conf. CORRECT
Yes
33%
No
67%
Over 1.5 Goals
81% conf. CORRECT
Yes
81%
@ 1.22
No
19%
Over 2.5 Goals
51% conf. CORRECT
Yes
49%
No
51%
Over 3.5 Goals
62% conf. CORRECT
Yes
38%
No
62%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf. CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%

How to read these predictions

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Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?

Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.

Are predictions guaranteed?

No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.

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No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.