How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Alondras, at 50.2%. The other outcomes represent 49.8% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 50.2% · Draw: 23.6% · Away win: 26.2%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Alondras 1525; Coruña 1484. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–1. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Historical record or date different from the current schedule; it should not be presented as a verified pre-match forecast.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 14:30
Alondras
Elo 1525
0
-
1
Coruña
Elo 1484
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Away Form (5)
1W
0D
4L
Elo Advantage
+41
H2H (2)
2H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Alondras1525
Coruña1484
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2Alondras
0Draws
0Coruña
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
50% conf.
WRONG
Home
50%
Draw
24%
Away
26%
Both Teams to Score
53% conf.
WRONG
Yes
53%
No
47%
Away Clean Sheet
82% conf.
WRONG
Yes
18%
No
82%
Home Clean Sheet
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
36%
No
64%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
WRONG
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
51% conf.
WRONG
Yes
49%
No
51%
Half-Time Result
38% conf.
CORRECT
Home
38%
Draw
38%
Away
24%
HT Both Teams Score
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
19%
No
81%
HT Over 0.5
75% conf.
WRONG
Yes
75%
No
25%
HT Over 1.5
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
35%
No
65%
Over 1.5 Goals
80% conf.
WRONG
Yes
80%
No
20%
Over 2.5 Goals
56% conf.
WRONG
Yes
56%
No
44%
Over 3.5 Goals
66% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
34%
No
66%
Home Win to Nil
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
27%
No
73%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.