How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Sámano, at 42.1%. The other outcomes represent 57.9% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 34.8% · Draw: 23.1% · Away win: 42.1%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Atlético Mineros 1383; Sámano 1419. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–4. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Historical record or date different from the current schedule; it should not be presented as a verified pre-match forecast.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 15:30
Atlético Mineros
Elo 1383
0
-
4
Sámano
Elo 1419
FT
HT 0-1
Home Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Away Form (5)
0W
2D
3L
Elo Advantage
-37
Elo rating comparison
Atlético Mineros1383
Sámano1419
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Atlético Mineros
—Draws
—Sámano
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
42% conf.
CORRECT
Home
35%
Draw
23%
Away
42%
Both Teams to Score
59% conf.
WRONG
Yes
59%
No
41%
Away Clean Sheet
77% conf.
WRONG
Yes
23%
No
77%
Home Clean Sheet
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
16%
No
84%
Double Chance 1X
53% conf.
WRONG
Yes
53%
No
47%
Double Chance X2
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
65%
No
35%
Half-Time Result
34% conf.
WRONG
Home
34%
Draw
33%
Away
33%
HT Both Teams Score
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
20%
No
80%
HT Over 0.5
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
76%
No
24%
HT Over 1.5
62% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
38%
No
62%
Over 1.5 Goals
85% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
85%
No
15%
Over 2.5 Goals
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
61%
No
39%
Over 3.5 Goals
63% conf.
WRONG
Yes
37%
No
63%
Home Win to Nil
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
16%
No
84%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.