How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Mazarrón FC, at 51.0%. The other outcomes represent 49.0% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 51% · Draw: 26.4% · Away win: 22.6%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Mazarrón FC 1528; SFC Minerva 1446. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–1. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 · Sunday, Oct 4 2026
· 15:30
Mazarrón FC
Elo 1528
0
-
1
SFC Minerva
Elo 1446
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
0W
3D
2L
Away Form (5)
0W
4D
1L
Elo Advantage
+82
H2H (1)
0H
0D
1A
Elo rating comparison
Mazarrón FC1528
SFC Minerva1446
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Mazarrón FC
0Draws
1SFC Minerva
1 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
51% conf.
WRONG
Home
51%
Draw
26%
Away
23%
Both Teams to Score
54% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
46%
No
54%
Away Clean Sheet
77% conf.
WRONG
Yes
23%
No
77%
Home Clean Sheet
55% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
45%
No
55%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
WRONG
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
52% conf.
WRONG
Yes
48%
No
52%
Half-Time Result
42% conf.
CORRECT
Home
38%
Draw
42%
Away
19%
HT Both Teams Score
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
HT Over 0.5
68% conf.
WRONG
Yes
68%
No
32%
HT Over 1.5
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
28%
No
72%
Over 1.5 Goals
62% conf.
WRONG
Yes
62%
No
38%
Over 2.5 Goals
54% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
46%
No
54%
Over 3.5 Goals
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
24%
No
76%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.