How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Atlético Pueblonuevo, at 40.1%. The other outcomes represent 59.9% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 40.1% · Draw: 23.4% · Away win: 36.5%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Atlético Pueblonuevo 1417; Puebla Calzada 1476. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–0. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Historical record or date different from the current schedule; it should not be presented as a verified pre-match forecast.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 15:30
Atlético Pueblonuevo
Elo 1417
0
-
0
Puebla Calzada
Elo 1476
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Away Form (5)
2W
0D
3L
Elo Advantage
-59
H2H (4)
0H
0D
4A
Elo rating comparison
Atlético Pueblonuevo1417
Puebla Calzada1476
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Atlético Pueblonuevo
0Draws
4Puebla Calzada
4 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
40% conf.
WRONG
Home
40%
Draw
23%
Away
37%
Both Teams to Score
50% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
50%
No
50%
Away Clean Sheet
72% conf.
WRONG
Yes
28%
No
72%
Home Clean Sheet
69% conf.
WRONG
Yes
31%
No
69%
Double Chance 1X
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
60%
No
40%
Double Chance X2
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
59%
No
41%
Half-Time Result
40% conf.
CORRECT
Home
31%
Draw
40%
Away
29%
HT Both Teams Score
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
20%
No
80%
HT Over 0.5
78% conf.
WRONG
Yes
78%
No
22%
HT Over 1.5
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
35%
No
65%
Over 1.5 Goals
76% conf.
WRONG
Yes
76%
No
24%
Over 2.5 Goals
54% conf.
WRONG
Yes
54%
No
46%
Over 3.5 Goals
66% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
34%
No
66%
Home Win to Nil
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
Recent results
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Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.