How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Cliftonville W, at 57.2%. The other outcomes represent 42.8% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 57.2% · Draw: 17.6% · Away win: 25.2%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Cliftonville W 1803; Glentoran BU W 1715. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 4–1. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Premiership Women · Sunday, Oct 4 2026
· 17:00
Cliftonville W
Elo 1803
4
-
1
Glentoran BU W
Elo 1715
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
4W
1D
0L
Away Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Elo Advantage
+88
H2H (9)
8H
0D
1A
Elo rating comparison
Cliftonville W1803
Glentoran BU W1715
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
8Cliftonville W
0Draws
1Glentoran BU W
9 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
57% conf.
CORRECT
Home
57%
Draw
18%
Away
25%
Both Teams to Score
54% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
54%
No
46%
Away Clean Sheet
85% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
15%
No
85%
Home Clean Sheet
67% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
33%
No
67%
Double Chance 1X
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
70%
No
30%
Double Chance X2
54% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
46%
No
54%
Half-Time Result
40% conf.
WRONG
Home
40%
Draw
36%
Away
24%
HT Both Teams Score
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
HT Over 0.5
73% conf.
WRONG
Yes
73%
No
27%
HT Over 1.5
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
40%
No
60%
Over 1.5 Goals
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
83%
No
17%
Over 2.5 Goals
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
70%
No
30%
Over 3.5 Goals
50% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
50%
No
50%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.