How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Lisburn Ladies W, at 40.7%. The other outcomes represent 59.3% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 34.3% · Draw: 25% · Away win: 40.7%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Larne W 1145; Lisburn Ladies W 1257. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–0. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Premiership Women · Sunday, Oct 4 2026
· 17:00
Larne W
Elo 1145
1
-
0
Lisburn Ladies W
Elo 1257
FT
HT 1-0
Home Form (5)
0W
0D
5L
Away Form (5)
0W
1D
4L
Elo Advantage
-112
H2H (1)
0H
0D
1A
Elo rating comparison
Larne W1145
Lisburn Ladies W1257
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Larne W
0Draws
1Lisburn Ladies W
1 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
41% conf.
WRONG
Home
34%
Draw
25%
Away
41%
Both Teams to Score
65% conf.
WRONG
Yes
65%
No
35%
Away Clean Sheet
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
28%
No
72%
Home Clean Sheet
83% conf.
WRONG
Yes
17%
No
83%
Double Chance 1X
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
53%
No
47%
Double Chance X2
67% conf.
WRONG
Yes
67%
No
33%
Half-Time Result
42% conf.
WRONG
Home
25%
Draw
33%
Away
42%
HT Both Teams Score
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
23%
No
77%
HT Over 0.5
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
81%
No
19%
HT Over 1.5
58% conf.
WRONG
Yes
58%
No
42%
Over 1.5 Goals
85% conf.
WRONG
Yes
85%
No
15%
Over 2.5 Goals
69% conf.
WRONG
Yes
69%
No
31%
Over 3.5 Goals
64% conf.
WRONG
Yes
64%
No
36%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
WRONG
Yes
13%
No
88%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.