How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Audace Cerignola, at 59.7%. The other outcomes represent 40.3% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 59.7% · Draw: 24.7% · Away win: 15.6%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Audace Cerignola 1651; Team Altamura 1532. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–0. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #720 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Serie C - Girone C · Sunday, Oct 4 2026
· 18:30
Audace Cerignola
Elo 1651
0
-
0
Team Altamura
Elo 1532
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
0W
3D
2L
Away Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Elo Advantage
+119
H2H (3)
0H
3D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Audace Cerignola1651
Team Altamura1532
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Audace Cerignola
3Draws
0Team Altamura
3 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
60% conf.
WRONG
Home
60%
@ 1.82
Draw
25%
@ 3.45
Away
16%
@ 3.92
Both Teams to Score
54% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
46%
No
54%
Away Clean Sheet
80% conf.
WRONG
Yes
20%
No
80%
Home Clean Sheet
54% conf.
WRONG
Yes
46%
No
54%
Double Chance 1X
85% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
85%
@ 1.19
No
15%
Double Chance X2
57% conf.
WRONG
Yes
43%
No
57%
Half-Time Result
46% conf.
CORRECT
Home
37%
@ 2.45
Draw
46%
@ 2.11
Away
17%
@ 4.47
HT Both Teams Score
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
16%
No
84%
HT Over 0.5
61% conf.
WRONG
Yes
61%
@ 1.40
No
39%
HT Over 1.5
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
22%
No
78%
Over 1.5 Goals
67% conf.
WRONG
Yes
67%
@ 1.32
No
33%
Over 2.5 Goals
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
47%
No
53%
Over 3.5 Goals
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
28%
No
72%
Home Win to Nil
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
41%
No
59%
Recent results
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Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.