How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Potenza, at 67.0%. The other outcomes represent 33.0% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 67% · Draw: 17.4% · Away win: 15.6%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Potenza 1702; AZ Picerno 1623. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 4–2. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #720 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Serie C - Girone C · Sunday, Oct 4 2026
· 18:30
Potenza
Elo 1702
4
-
2
AZ Picerno
Elo 1623
FT
HT 2-1
Home Form (5)
1W
4D
0L
Away Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Elo Advantage
+79
H2H (1)
0H
0D
1A
Elo rating comparison
Potenza1702
AZ Picerno1623
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Potenza
0Draws
1AZ Picerno
1 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
67% conf.
CORRECT
Home
67%
@ 1.58
Draw
17%
@ 3.94
Away
16%
@ 4.94
Both Teams to Score
54% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
54%
@ 1.80
No
46%
Away Clean Sheet
86% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
14%
No
86%
Home Clean Sheet
62% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
38%
No
62%
Double Chance 1X
85% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
85%
@ 1.12
No
15%
Double Chance X2
67% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
33%
No
67%
Half-Time Result
53% conf.
CORRECT
Home
53%
@ 2.13
Draw
32%
@ 2.29
Away
15%
@ 5.09
HT Both Teams Score
80% conf.
WRONG
Yes
20%
No
80%
HT Over 0.5
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
78%
@ 1.32
No
22%
HT Over 1.5
66% conf.
WRONG
Yes
34%
No
66%
Over 1.5 Goals
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
77%
@ 1.23
No
23%
Over 2.5 Goals
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
60%
@ 1.77
No
40%
Over 3.5 Goals
62% conf.
WRONG
Yes
38%
No
62%
Home Win to Nil
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
41%
No
59%
Recent results
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Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.