How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Supra du Quebec, at 54.7%. The other outcomes represent 45.3% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 54.7% · Draw: 21.9% · Away win: 23.5%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Supra du Quebec 1489; Pacific FC 1337. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 5–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Canadian Premier League · Sunday, Oct 4 2026
· 20:00
Supra du Quebec
Elo 1489
5
-
0
Pacific FC
Elo 1337
FT
HT 1-0
Home Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Away Form (5)
0W
2D
3L
Elo Advantage
+151
H2H (7)
5H
2D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Supra du Quebec1489
Pacific FC1337
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
5Supra du Quebec
2Draws
0Pacific FC
7 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
55% conf.
CORRECT
Home
55%
Draw
22%
Away
23%
Both Teams to Score
57% conf.
WRONG
Yes
57%
No
43%
Away Clean Sheet
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
16%
No
84%
Home Clean Sheet
67% conf.
WRONG
Yes
33%
No
67%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
52% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
48%
No
52%
Half-Time Result
41% conf.
CORRECT
Home
41%
Draw
34%
Away
25%
HT Both Teams Score
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
19%
No
81%
HT Over 0.5
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
79%
No
21%
HT Over 1.5
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
40%
No
60%
Over 1.5 Goals
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
88%
No
12%
Over 2.5 Goals
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
61%
No
39%
Over 3.5 Goals
63% conf.
WRONG
Yes
37%
No
63%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
WRONG
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.