How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Municipal Salamanca, at 39.8%. The other outcomes represent 60.2% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 39.8% · Draw: 27.2% · Away win: 33.1%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Municipal Salamanca 1499; Linares Unido 1523. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Segunda División · Sunday, Oct 4 2026
· 15:00
Municipal Salamanca
Elo 1499
2
-
0
Linares Unido
Elo 1523
FT
HT 1-0
Home Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Away Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Elo Advantage
-25
Elo rating comparison
Municipal Salamanca1499
Linares Unido1523
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Municipal Salamanca
—Draws
—Linares Unido
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
40% conf.
CORRECT
Home
40%
Draw
27%
Away
33%
Both Teams to Score
53% conf.
WRONG
Yes
53%
No
47%
Away Clean Sheet
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Home Clean Sheet
66% conf.
WRONG
Yes
34%
No
66%
Double Chance 1X
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
70%
No
30%
Double Chance X2
62% conf.
WRONG
Yes
62%
No
38%
Half-Time Result
43% conf.
WRONG
Home
29%
Draw
43%
Away
28%
HT Both Teams Score
89% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
11%
No
89%
HT Over 0.5
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
63%
No
37%
HT Over 1.5
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
20%
No
80%
Over 1.5 Goals
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
65%
No
35%
Over 2.5 Goals
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
40%
No
60%
Over 3.5 Goals
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
Home Win to Nil
78% conf.
WRONG
Yes
22%
No
78%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.