How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Futbol Consultants Moravia, at 49.6%. The other outcomes represent 50.4% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 49.6% · Draw: 23.9% · Away win: 26.5%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Futbol Consultants Moravia 1485; AD Carmelita 1443. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–3. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Historical record or date different from the current schedule; it should not be presented as a verified pre-match forecast.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Liga de Ascenso · Friday, Oct 2 2026
· 20:00
Futbol Consultants Moravia
Elo 1485
0
-
3
AD Carmelita
Elo 1443
FT
HT 0-1
Home Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Away Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Elo Advantage
+42
H2H (8)
2H
6D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Futbol Consultants Moravia1485
AD Carmelita1443
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2Futbol Consultants Moravia
6Draws
0AD Carmelita
8 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
50% conf.
WRONG
Home
50%
Draw
24%
Away
27%
Both Teams to Score
55% conf.
WRONG
Yes
55%
No
45%
Away Clean Sheet
79% conf.
WRONG
Yes
21%
No
79%
Home Clean Sheet
66% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
34%
No
66%
Double Chance 1X
70% conf.
WRONG
Yes
70%
No
30%
Double Chance X2
51% conf.
WRONG
Yes
49%
No
51%
Half-Time Result
39% conf.
WRONG
Home
38%
Draw
39%
Away
23%
HT Both Teams Score
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
22%
No
78%
HT Over 0.5
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
74%
No
26%
HT Over 1.5
68% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
32%
No
68%
Over 1.5 Goals
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
80%
No
20%
Over 2.5 Goals
52% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
52%
No
48%
Over 3.5 Goals
68% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
32%
No
68%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.