How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Puerto Rico, at 70.2%. The other outcomes represent 29.8% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 70.2% · Draw: 19.5% · Away win: 10.4%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Puerto Rico 1470; Cayman Islands 1227. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
CONCACAF Nations League · Sunday, Oct 4 2026
· 22:00
Puerto Rico
Elo 1470
1
-
0
Cayman Islands
Elo 1227
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
4W
0D
1L
Away Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Elo Advantage
+243
H2H (4)
4H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Puerto Rico1470
Cayman Islands1227
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
4Puerto Rico
0Draws
0Cayman Islands
4 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
70% conf.
CORRECT
Home
70%
Draw
19%
Away
10%
Both Teams to Score
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Away Clean Sheet
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
12%
No
88%
Home Clean Sheet
58% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
58%
No
42%
Double Chance 1X
93% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
93%
No
7%
Double Chance X2
71% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
29%
No
71%
Half-Time Result
50% conf.
WRONG
Home
50%
Draw
39%
Away
11%
HT Both Teams Score
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
HT Over 0.5
74% conf.
WRONG
Yes
74%
No
26%
HT Over 1.5
52% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
48%
No
52%
Over 1.5 Goals
74% conf.
WRONG
Yes
74%
No
26%
Over 2.5 Goals
59% conf.
WRONG
Yes
59%
No
41%
Over 3.5 Goals
57% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
43%
No
57%
Home Win to Nil
50% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
50%
No
50%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.