How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Curaçao, at 57.0%. The other outcomes represent 43.0% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 22.6% · Draw: 20.4% · Away win: 57%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Trinidad and Tobago 1481; Curaçao 1613. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–1. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
CONCACAF Nations League · Sunday, Oct 4 2026
· 22:00
Trinidad and Tobago
Elo 1481
1
-
1
Curaçao
Elo 1613
FT
HT 1-0
Home Form (5)
0W
1D
4L
Away Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Elo Advantage
-132
H2H (5)
0H
1D
4A
Elo rating comparison
Trinidad and Tobago1481
Curaçao1613
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Trinidad and Tobago
1Draws
4Curaçao
5 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
57% conf.
WRONG
Home
23%
Draw
20%
Away
57%
Both Teams to Score
56% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
56%
No
44%
Away Clean Sheet
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
28%
No
72%
Home Clean Sheet
85% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
15%
No
85%
Double Chance 1X
56% conf.
WRONG
Yes
44%
No
56%
Double Chance X2
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
78%
No
22%
Half-Time Result
41% conf.
WRONG
Home
21%
Draw
38%
Away
41%
HT Both Teams Score
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
18%
No
82%
HT Over 0.5
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
78%
No
22%
HT Over 1.5
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
41%
No
59%
Over 1.5 Goals
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
78%
No
22%
Over 2.5 Goals
63% conf.
WRONG
Yes
63%
No
37%
Over 3.5 Goals
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
36%
No
64%
Home Win to Nil
92% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
8%
No
92%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.