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Costa Rica vs Haiti

CONCACAF Nations League · Monday, 05 Oct 2026 · 00:00

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Statistical match analysis

In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Haiti, at 48.3%. The other outcomes represent 51.7% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.

Home win: 29.9% · Draw: 21.8% · Away win: 48.3%.

Elo strength available for this analysis: Costa Rica 1619; Haiti 1645. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.

Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.

Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.

CONCACAF Nations League · Monday, Oct 5 2026 · 00:00
Costa Rica
Elo 1619
vs
Haiti
Elo 1645
Home Form (5)
0W 0D 5L
Away Form (5)
2W 0D 3L
Elo Advantage
-25
H2H (5)
0H 0D 5A

Elo rating comparison

Costa Rica1619
Haiti1645

A measure of relative team strength before the match.

Head-to-head history

0Costa Rica
0Draws
5Haiti

5 historical meetings in the model

Predictions

14 markets
Match Result
48% conf.
Home
30%
Draw
22%
Away
48%
Both Teams to Score
64% conf.
Yes
64%
No
36%
Away Clean Sheet
67% conf.
Yes
33%
No
67%
Home Clean Sheet
87% conf.
Yes
13%
No
87%
Double Chance 1X
50% conf.
Yes
50%
No
50%
Double Chance X2
70% conf.
Yes
70%
No
30%
Half-Time Result
41% conf.
Home
27%
Draw
41%
Away
32%
HT Both Teams Score
77% conf.
Yes
23%
No
77%
HT Over 0.5
75% conf.
Yes
75%
No
25%
HT Over 1.5
55% conf.
Yes
45%
No
55%
Over 1.5 Goals
81% conf.
Yes
81%
No
19%
Over 2.5 Goals
70% conf.
Yes
70%
No
30%
Over 3.5 Goals
58% conf.
Yes
42%
No
58%
Home Win to Nil
92% conf.
Yes
8%
No
92%

How to read these predictions

Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.

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Recent results

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Verified performance

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Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?

Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.

Are predictions guaranteed?

No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.

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No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.