How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is America de Cali, at 43.5%. The other outcomes represent 56.5% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 27.3% · Draw: 29.2% · Away win: 43.5%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Llaneros 1592; America de Cali 1759. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Primera A · Monday, Oct 5 2026
· 01:15
Llaneros
Elo 1592
vs
America de Cali
Elo 1759
Home Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Away Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Elo Advantage
-167
H2H (2)
0H
2D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Llaneros1592
America de Cali1759
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Llaneros
2Draws
0America de Cali
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
43% conf.
Home
27%
Draw
29%
Away
43%
Both Teams to Score
58% conf.
Yes
58%
No
42%
Away Clean Sheet
61% conf.
Yes
39%
No
61%
Home Clean Sheet
83% conf.
Yes
17%
No
83%
Double Chance 1X
53% conf.
Yes
53%
No
47%
Double Chance X2
74% conf.
Yes
74%
No
26%
Half-Time Result
47% conf.
Home
19%
Draw
47%
Away
34%
HT Both Teams Score
83% conf.
Yes
17%
No
83%
HT Over 0.5
63% conf.
Yes
63%
No
37%
HT Over 1.5
70% conf.
Yes
30%
No
70%
Over 1.5 Goals
75% conf.
Yes
75%
No
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
56% conf.
Yes
44%
No
56%
Over 3.5 Goals
80% conf.
Yes
20%
No
80%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
Yes
12%
No
88%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.