How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Dominican Republic, at 58.1%. The other outcomes represent 41.9% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 23.6% · Draw: 18.3% · Away win: 58.1%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Nicaragua 1495; Dominican Republic 1565. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
CONCACAF Nations League · Monday, Oct 5 2026
· 02:00
Nicaragua
Elo 1495
vs
Dominican Republic
Elo 1565
Home Form (5)
0W
1D
4L
Away Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Elo Advantage
-70
H2H (2)
0H
0D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Nicaragua1495
Dominican Republic1565
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Nicaragua
0Draws
2Dominican Republic
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
58% conf.
Home
24%
Draw
18%
Away
58%
Both Teams to Score
54% conf.
Yes
54%
No
46%
Away Clean Sheet
73% conf.
Yes
27%
No
73%
Home Clean Sheet
86% conf.
Yes
14%
No
86%
Double Chance 1X
56% conf.
Yes
44%
No
56%
Double Chance X2
71% conf.
Yes
71%
No
29%
Half-Time Result
44% conf.
Home
24%
Draw
32%
Away
44%
HT Both Teams Score
75% conf.
Yes
25%
No
75%
HT Over 0.5
80% conf.
Yes
80%
No
20%
HT Over 1.5
52% conf.
Yes
52%
No
48%
Over 1.5 Goals
81% conf.
Yes
81%
No
19%
Over 2.5 Goals
71% conf.
Yes
71%
No
29%
Over 3.5 Goals
56% conf.
Yes
44%
No
56%
Home Win to Nil
92% conf.
Yes
8%
No
92%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.