How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Ulaanbaatar, at 78.5%. The other outcomes represent 21.5% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 78.5% · Draw: 11.3% · Away win: 10.2%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Ulaanbaatar 1859; Ulaangom City 1325. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Premier League · Monday, Oct 5 2026
· 05:00
Ulaanbaatar
Elo 1859
vs
Ulaangom City
Elo 1325
Home Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Away Form (5)
0W
0D
5L
Elo Advantage
+533
H2H (2)
2H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Ulaanbaatar1859
Ulaangom City1325
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2Ulaanbaatar
0Draws
0Ulaangom City
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
79% conf.
Home
79%
Draw
11%
Away
10%
Both Teams to Score
53% conf.
Yes
53%
No
47%
Away Clean Sheet
90% conf.
Yes
10%
No
90%
Home Clean Sheet
53% conf.
Yes
47%
No
53%
Double Chance 1X
93% conf.
Yes
93%
No
7%
Double Chance X2
78% conf.
Yes
22%
No
78%
Half-Time Result
69% conf.
Home
69%
Draw
22%
Away
9%
HT Both Teams Score
68% conf.
Yes
32%
No
68%
HT Over 0.5
84% conf.
Yes
84%
No
16%
HT Over 1.5
71% conf.
Yes
71%
No
29%
Over 1.5 Goals
87% conf.
Yes
87%
No
13%
Over 2.5 Goals
77% conf.
Yes
77%
No
23%
Over 3.5 Goals
61% conf.
Yes
61%
No
39%
Home Win to Nil
59% conf.
Yes
41%
No
59%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.