How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Congo DR, at 45.2%. The other outcomes represent 54.8% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 30.6% · Draw: 24.2% · Away win: 45.2%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Uganda 1557; Congo DR 1713. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Friendlies · Monday, Oct 5 2026
· 12:00
Uganda
Elo 1557
vs
Congo DR
Elo 1713
Home Form (5)
1W
3D
1L
Away Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Elo Advantage
-156
Elo rating comparison
Uganda1557
Congo DR1713
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Uganda
—Draws
—Congo DR
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
45% conf.
Home
31%
Draw
24%
Away
45%
Both Teams to Score
53% conf.
Yes
47%
No
53%
Away Clean Sheet
69% conf.
Yes
31%
No
69%
Home Clean Sheet
79% conf.
Yes
21%
No
79%
Double Chance 1X
53% conf.
Yes
53%
No
47%
Double Chance X2
70% conf.
Yes
70%
No
30%
Half-Time Result
40% conf.
Home
25%
Draw
40%
Away
35%
HT Both Teams Score
84% conf.
Yes
16%
No
84%
HT Over 0.5
69% conf.
Yes
69%
No
31%
HT Over 1.5
70% conf.
Yes
30%
No
70%
Over 1.5 Goals
78% conf.
Yes
78%
No
22%
Over 2.5 Goals
57% conf.
Yes
57%
No
43%
Over 3.5 Goals
77% conf.
Yes
23%
No
77%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
Yes
12%
No
88%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.