How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Mes Kerman, at 38.6%. The other outcomes represent 61.4% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 34.4% · Draw: 27% · Away win: 38.6%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Niroye Zamini 1445; Mes Kerman 1539. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Azadegan League · Monday, Oct 5 2026
· 12:30
Niroye Zamini
Elo 1445
vs
Mes Kerman
Elo 1539
Home Form (5)
0W
1D
4L
Away Form (5)
0W
1D
4L
Elo Advantage
-94
H2H (1)
0H
1D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Niroye Zamini1445
Mes Kerman1539
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Niroye Zamini
1Draws
0Mes Kerman
1 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
39% conf.
Home
34%
Draw
27%
Away
39%
Both Teams to Score
52% conf.
Yes
48%
No
52%
Away Clean Sheet
65% conf.
Yes
35%
No
65%
Home Clean Sheet
63% conf.
Yes
37%
No
63%
Double Chance 1X
64% conf.
Yes
64%
No
36%
Double Chance X2
64% conf.
Yes
64%
No
36%
Half-Time Result
47% conf.
Home
26%
Draw
47%
Away
27%
HT Both Teams Score
84% conf.
Yes
16%
No
84%
HT Over 0.5
64% conf.
Yes
64%
No
36%
HT Over 1.5
75% conf.
Yes
25%
No
75%
Over 1.5 Goals
68% conf.
Yes
68%
No
32%
Over 2.5 Goals
51% conf.
Yes
49%
No
51%
Over 3.5 Goals
82% conf.
Yes
18%
No
82%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.