How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Şanlıurfaspor, at 48.6%. The other outcomes represent 51.4% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 48.6% · Draw: 25.5% · Away win: 25.9%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Şanlıurfaspor 1701; Belediye Derincespor 1644. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
2. Lig · Monday, Oct 5 2026
· 16:00
Şanlıurfaspor
Elo 1701
vs
Belediye Derincespor
Elo 1644
Home Form (5)
0W
2D
3L
Away Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Elo Advantage
+57
Elo rating comparison
Şanlıurfaspor1701
Belediye Derincespor1644
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Şanlıurfaspor
—Draws
—Belediye Derincespor
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
49% conf.
Home
49%
Draw
25%
Away
26%
Both Teams to Score
57% conf.
Yes
57%
No
43%
Away Clean Sheet
79% conf.
Yes
21%
No
79%
Home Clean Sheet
65% conf.
Yes
35%
No
65%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
52% conf.
Yes
52%
No
48%
Half-Time Result
41% conf.
Home
37%
Draw
41%
Away
22%
HT Both Teams Score
77% conf.
Yes
23%
No
77%
HT Over 0.5
74% conf.
Yes
74%
No
26%
HT Over 1.5
64% conf.
Yes
36%
No
64%
Over 1.5 Goals
75% conf.
Yes
75%
No
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
55% conf.
Yes
55%
No
45%
Over 3.5 Goals
71% conf.
Yes
29%
No
71%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.