How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is SE Belford Roxo, at 48.1%. The other outcomes represent 51.9% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 29.3% · Draw: 22.7% · Away win: 48.1%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: 7 de Abril 1377; SE Belford Roxo 1486. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Carioca B2 · Monday, Oct 5 2026
· 18:00
7 de Abril
Elo 1377
vs
SE Belford Roxo
Elo 1486
Home Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Away Form (5)
1W
3D
1L
Elo Advantage
-109
Elo rating comparison
7 de Abril1377
SE Belford Roxo1486
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—7 de Abril
—Draws
—SE Belford Roxo
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
48% conf.
Home
29%
Draw
23%
Away
48%
Both Teams to Score
66% conf.
Yes
66%
No
34%
Away Clean Sheet
77% conf.
Yes
23%
No
77%
Home Clean Sheet
86% conf.
Yes
14%
No
86%
Double Chance 1X
53% conf.
Yes
53%
No
47%
Double Chance X2
73% conf.
Yes
73%
No
27%
Half-Time Result
38% conf.
Home
27%
Draw
38%
Away
35%
HT Both Teams Score
76% conf.
Yes
24%
No
76%
HT Over 0.5
77% conf.
Yes
77%
No
23%
HT Over 1.5
61% conf.
Yes
39%
No
61%
Over 1.5 Goals
83% conf.
Yes
83%
No
17%
Over 2.5 Goals
64% conf.
Yes
64%
No
36%
Over 3.5 Goals
55% conf.
Yes
45%
No
55%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
Yes
12%
No
88%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
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Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
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No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.