How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Campos AA, at 63.0%. The other outcomes represent 37.0% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 63% · Draw: 19.2% · Away win: 17.8%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Campos AA 1431; Búzios 1389. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 3–1. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Carioca B2 · Monday, Oct 5 2026
· 18:00
Campos AA
Elo 1431
3
-
1
Búzios
Elo 1389
FT
HT 1-1
Home Form (5)
0W
3D
2L
Away Form (5)
1W
0D
4L
Elo Advantage
+42
Elo rating comparison
Campos AA1431
Búzios1389
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Campos AA
—Draws
—Búzios
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
63% conf.
CORRECT
Home
63%
Draw
19%
Away
18%
Both Teams to Score
56% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
56%
No
44%
Away Clean Sheet
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
18%
No
82%
Home Clean Sheet
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
40%
No
60%
Double Chance 1X
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
84%
No
16%
Double Chance X2
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
40%
No
60%
Half-Time Result
44% conf.
WRONG
Home
44%
Draw
39%
Away
17%
HT Both Teams Score
76% conf.
WRONG
Yes
24%
No
76%
HT Over 0.5
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
73%
No
27%
HT Over 1.5
62% conf.
WRONG
Yes
38%
No
62%
Over 1.5 Goals
87% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
87%
No
13%
Over 2.5 Goals
68% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
68%
No
32%
Over 3.5 Goals
61% conf.
WRONG
Yes
39%
No
61%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.