How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Paraty, at 52.8%. The other outcomes represent 47.2% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 52.8% · Draw: 20.9% · Away win: 26.2%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Paraty 1404; Rio de Janeiro 1276. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Carioca B2 · Monday, Oct 5 2026
· 18:00
Paraty
Elo 1404
vs
Rio de Janeiro
Elo 1276
Home Form (5)
0W
0D
5L
Away Form (5)
0W
0D
5L
Elo Advantage
+128
Elo rating comparison
Paraty1404
Rio de Janeiro1276
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Paraty
—Draws
—Rio de Janeiro
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
53% conf.
Home
53%
Draw
21%
Away
26%
Both Teams to Score
61% conf.
Yes
61%
No
39%
Away Clean Sheet
82% conf.
Yes
18%
No
82%
Home Clean Sheet
73% conf.
Yes
27%
No
73%
Double Chance 1X
65% conf.
Yes
65%
No
35%
Double Chance X2
51% conf.
Yes
51%
No
49%
Half-Time Result
41% conf.
Home
41%
Draw
33%
Away
26%
HT Both Teams Score
78% conf.
Yes
22%
No
78%
HT Over 0.5
78% conf.
Yes
78%
No
22%
HT Over 1.5
58% conf.
Yes
42%
No
58%
Over 1.5 Goals
90% conf.
Yes
90%
No
10%
Over 2.5 Goals
65% conf.
Yes
65%
No
35%
Over 3.5 Goals
54% conf.
Yes
46%
No
54%
Home Win to Nil
78% conf.
Yes
22%
No
78%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
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No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.