How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Cyprus, at 58.2%. The other outcomes represent 41.8% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 58.2% · Draw: 23.2% · Away win: 18.6%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Cyprus 1283; Latvia 1281. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
UEFA Nations League · Monday, Oct 5 2026
· 16:00
Cyprus
Elo 1283
vs
Latvia
Elo 1281
Home Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Away Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Elo Advantage
+3
H2H (2)
0H
2D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Cyprus1283
Latvia1281
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Cyprus
2Draws
0Latvia
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
58% conf.
Home
58%
Draw
23%
Away
19%
Both Teams to Score
53% conf.
Yes
47%
No
53%
Away Clean Sheet
77% conf.
Yes
23%
No
77%
Home Clean Sheet
81% conf.
Yes
19%
No
81%
Double Chance 1X
84% conf.
Yes
84%
No
16%
Double Chance X2
56% conf.
Yes
44%
No
56%
Half-Time Result
46% conf.
Home
38%
Draw
46%
Away
16%
HT Both Teams Score
80% conf.
Yes
20%
No
80%
HT Over 0.5
67% conf.
Yes
67%
No
33%
HT Over 1.5
60% conf.
Yes
40%
No
60%
Over 1.5 Goals
77% conf.
Yes
77%
No
23%
Over 2.5 Goals
53% conf.
Yes
53%
No
47%
Over 3.5 Goals
73% conf.
Yes
27%
No
73%
Home Win to Nil
78% conf.
Yes
22%
No
78%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
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No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.