Carshalton Athletic vs Eastbourne Borough

Non League Premier - Isthmian · Monday, 05 Oct 2026 · 18:45

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Statistical match analysis

In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Carshalton Athletic, at 41.0%. The other outcomes represent 59.0% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.

Home win: 41% · Draw: 28.2% · Away win: 30.7%.

Elo strength available for this analysis: Carshalton Athletic 1623; Eastbourne Borough 1567. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.

Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.

Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.

Non League Premier - Isthmian · Monday, Oct 5 2026 · 18:45
Carshalton Athletic
Elo 1623
vs
Eastbourne Borough
Elo 1567
Home Form (5)
1W 3D 1L
Away Form (5)
3W 1D 1L
Elo Advantage
+55

Elo rating comparison

Carshalton Athletic1623
Eastbourne Borough1567

A measure of relative team strength before the match.

Head-to-head history

—Carshalton Athletic
—Draws
—Eastbourne Borough

0 historical meetings in the model

Predictions

14 markets
Match Result
41% conf.
Home
41%
Draw
28%
Away
31%
Both Teams to Score
64% conf.
Yes
64%
No
36%
Away Clean Sheet
75% conf.
Yes
25%
No
75%
Home Clean Sheet
79% conf.
Yes
21%
No
79%
Double Chance 1X
65% conf.
Yes
65%
No
35%
Double Chance X2
62% conf.
Yes
62%
No
38%
Half-Time Result
36% conf.
Home
35%
Draw
36%
Away
29%
HT Both Teams Score
77% conf.
Yes
23%
No
77%
HT Over 0.5
76% conf.
Yes
76%
No
24%
HT Over 1.5
59% conf.
Yes
41%
No
59%
Over 1.5 Goals
82% conf.
Yes
82%
No
18%
Over 2.5 Goals
60% conf.
Yes
60%
No
40%
Over 3.5 Goals
61% conf.
Yes
39%
No
61%
Home Win to Nil
83% conf.
Yes
17%
No
83%

How to read these predictions

Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.

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Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?

Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.

Are predictions guaranteed?

No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.

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