Liechtenstein vs Gibraltar

Friendlies · Monday, 05 Oct 2026 · 18:45

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Statistical match analysis

In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Gibraltar, at 36.3%. The other outcomes represent 63.7% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.

Home win: 33.8% · Draw: 29.9% · Away win: 36.3%.

Elo strength available for this analysis: Liechtenstein 1016; Gibraltar 1153. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.

Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.

Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.

Friendlies · Monday, Oct 5 2026 · 18:45
Liechtenstein
Elo 1016
vs
Gibraltar
Elo 1153
Home Form (5)
1W 0D 4L
Away Form (5)
2W 2D 1L
Elo Advantage
-136

Elo rating comparison

Liechtenstein1016
Gibraltar1153

A measure of relative team strength before the match.

Head-to-head history

—Liechtenstein
—Draws
—Gibraltar

0 historical meetings in the model

Predictions

14 markets
Match Result
36% conf.
Home
34%
Draw
30%
Away
36%
Both Teams to Score
57% conf.
Yes
57%
No
43%
Away Clean Sheet
72% conf.
Yes
28%
No
72%
Home Clean Sheet
80% conf.
Yes
20%
No
80%
Double Chance 1X
64% conf.
Yes
64%
No
36%
Double Chance X2
68% conf.
Yes
68%
No
32%
Half-Time Result
41% conf.
Home
25%
Draw
41%
Away
34%
HT Both Teams Score
75% conf.
Yes
25%
No
75%
HT Over 0.5
72% conf.
Yes
72%
No
28%
HT Over 1.5
56% conf.
Yes
44%
No
56%
Over 1.5 Goals
80% conf.
Yes
80%
No
20%
Over 2.5 Goals
61% conf.
Yes
61%
No
39%
Over 3.5 Goals
54% conf.
Yes
46%
No
54%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
Yes
26%
No
74%

How to read these predictions

Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.

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Recent results

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Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?

Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.

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No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.

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