How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Guadeloupe, at 64.2%. The other outcomes represent 35.8% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 64.2% · Draw: 22.1% · Away win: 13.6%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Guadeloupe 1589; St. Lucia 1346. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
CONCACAF Nations League · Monday, Oct 5 2026
· 19:00
Guadeloupe
Elo 1589
vs
St. Lucia
Elo 1346
Home Form (5)
1W
2D
0L
Away Form (5)
0W
0D
3L
Elo Advantage
+243
Elo rating comparison
Guadeloupe1589
St. Lucia1346
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Guadeloupe
—Draws
—St. Lucia
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
64% conf.
Home
64%
Draw
22%
Away
14%
Both Teams to Score
52% conf.
Yes
52%
No
48%
Away Clean Sheet
85% conf.
Yes
15%
No
85%
Home Clean Sheet
57% conf.
Yes
43%
No
57%
Double Chance 1X
85% conf.
Yes
85%
No
15%
Double Chance X2
64% conf.
Yes
36%
No
64%
Half-Time Result
53% conf.
Home
53%
Draw
34%
Away
13%
HT Both Teams Score
75% conf.
Yes
25%
No
75%
HT Over 0.5
81% conf.
Yes
81%
No
19%
HT Over 1.5
53% conf.
Yes
53%
No
47%
Over 1.5 Goals
83% conf.
Yes
83%
No
17%
Over 2.5 Goals
64% conf.
Yes
64%
No
36%
Over 3.5 Goals
52% conf.
Yes
52%
No
48%
Home Win to Nil
59% conf.
Yes
41%
No
59%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
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No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.