How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Cuba, at 61.6%. The other outcomes represent 38.4% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 61.6% · Draw: 22.9% · Away win: 15.4%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Cuba 1499; St. Kitts and Nevis 1384. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
CONCACAF Nations League · Monday, Oct 5 2026
· 21:00
Cuba
Elo 1499
vs
St. Kitts and Nevis
Elo 1384
Home Form (5)
3W
2D
0L
Away Form (5)
4W
0D
1L
Elo Advantage
+115
Elo rating comparison
Cuba1499
St. Kitts and Nevis1384
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Cuba
—Draws
—St. Kitts and Nevis
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
62% conf.
Home
62%
Draw
23%
Away
15%
Both Teams to Score
53% conf.
Yes
53%
No
47%
Away Clean Sheet
85% conf.
Yes
15%
No
85%
Home Clean Sheet
57% conf.
Yes
43%
No
57%
Double Chance 1X
85% conf.
Yes
85%
No
15%
Double Chance X2
61% conf.
Yes
39%
No
61%
Half-Time Result
45% conf.
Home
45%
Draw
40%
Away
15%
HT Both Teams Score
75% conf.
Yes
25%
No
75%
HT Over 0.5
77% conf.
Yes
77%
No
23%
HT Over 1.5
57% conf.
Yes
43%
No
57%
Over 1.5 Goals
82% conf.
Yes
82%
No
18%
Over 2.5 Goals
59% conf.
Yes
59%
No
41%
Over 3.5 Goals
57% conf.
Yes
43%
No
57%
Home Win to Nil
59% conf.
Yes
41%
No
59%
Recent results
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Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
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No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.