How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Envigado, at 48.7%. The other outcomes represent 51.3% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 25.2% · Draw: 26.1% · Away win: 48.7%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Bogota FC 1311; Envigado 1528. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Primera B · Monday, Oct 5 2026
· 22:00
Bogota FC
Elo 1311
vs
Envigado
Elo 1528
Home Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Away Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Elo Advantage
-217
H2H (2)
2H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Bogota FC1311
Envigado1528
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2Bogota FC
0Draws
0Envigado
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
49% conf.
Home
25%
Draw
26%
Away
49%
Both Teams to Score
51% conf.
Yes
51%
No
49%
Away Clean Sheet
59% conf.
Yes
41%
No
59%
Home Clean Sheet
83% conf.
Yes
17%
No
83%
Double Chance 1X
50% conf.
Yes
50%
No
50%
Double Chance X2
76% conf.
Yes
76%
No
24%
Half-Time Result
43% conf.
Home
18%
Draw
43%
Away
39%
HT Both Teams Score
81% conf.
Yes
19%
No
81%
HT Over 0.5
68% conf.
Yes
68%
No
32%
HT Over 1.5
70% conf.
Yes
30%
No
70%
Over 1.5 Goals
76% conf.
Yes
76%
No
24%
Over 2.5 Goals
52% conf.
Yes
48%
No
52%
Over 3.5 Goals
77% conf.
Yes
23%
No
77%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
Yes
12%
No
88%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.