How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is El Salvador, at 44.7%. The other outcomes represent 55.3% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 32.9% · Draw: 22.4% · Away win: 44.7%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Martinique 1456; El Salvador 1491. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
CONCACAF Nations League · Monday, Oct 5 2026
· 22:00
Martinique
Elo 1456
vs
El Salvador
Elo 1491
Home Form (5)
0W
1D
4L
Away Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Elo Advantage
-35
H2H (4)
0H
0D
4A
Elo rating comparison
Martinique1456
El Salvador1491
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Martinique
0Draws
4El Salvador
4 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
45% conf.
Home
33%
Draw
22%
Away
45%
Both Teams to Score
62% conf.
Yes
62%
No
38%
Away Clean Sheet
73% conf.
Yes
27%
No
73%
Home Clean Sheet
81% conf.
Yes
19%
No
81%
Double Chance 1X
53% conf.
Yes
53%
No
47%
Double Chance X2
64% conf.
Yes
64%
No
36%
Half-Time Result
35% conf.
Home
30%
Draw
35%
Away
35%
HT Both Teams Score
76% conf.
Yes
24%
No
76%
HT Over 0.5
75% conf.
Yes
75%
No
25%
HT Over 1.5
62% conf.
Yes
38%
No
62%
Over 1.5 Goals
80% conf.
Yes
80%
No
20%
Over 2.5 Goals
65% conf.
Yes
65%
No
35%
Over 3.5 Goals
59% conf.
Yes
41%
No
59%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
Yes
12%
No
88%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.